33174625_1851407001820147_4984848762972143616_nTROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT
STATEMENT
WHCA31 TAPA
TROPICAL STORM BERYL ALERT STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES
11:15 AM ECT SATURDAY JUL 7, 2018

THIS IS FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

…BERYL WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM…

AT 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.1 NORTH, LONGITUDE 51.1 WEST OR
740 NORTICAL MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ST. KITTS AND NEVIS, 788
MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA AND 998 MILES
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

BERYL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH (22
KM/H). A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH SOME INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF BERYL WILL CROSS THE ISLAND
CHAIN LATE SUNDAY OR MONDAY AND MOVE SOUTH OF THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH (100
KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 48 HRS, ESPECIALLY ONCE BERYL REACHES THE
EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ON MONDAY. THIS SYSTEM COULD
DEGENERATE INTO AN OPEN TROUGH BY THE TIME IT REACHES THE
CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA AND HISPANIOLA ON TUESDAY.

ST. KITTS AND NEVIS IS NOT UNDER ANY WATCHES OR WARNING AT
THIS MOMENT

BERYL IS A TROPICAL STORM WITH TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS
EXTENDING OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES (55 KM) FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB (29.50
INCHES).

BASED ON THE LATEST TRACK, BERYL IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN A
WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTERLY TRACK WHICH COULD RESULT IN
THE STORM PASSING SOUTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. HOWEVER,
GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST TRACK, THERE IS STILL A
POSSIBILITY THAT BERYL COULD TRACK CLOSER TO THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS AND IN THAT CASE WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE
REQUIRED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOR PORTIONS OF THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS.

RESIDENTS OF THE LEEWARDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF BERYL AND
FUTURE UPDATES FROM THE MET OFFICE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES.

REPEAT….. ST. KITTS AND NEVIS IS NOT UNDER ANY WATCHES OR
WARNING AT THIS MOMENT

THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE AROUND 5:00 PM (ECT)

FORECASTER
LETITIA HUMPHREYS